Bitcoin to $10 Million by 2034

At first glance, this may seem hyper-bullish, but there are solid reasons to believe such a price surge could happen.

Bitcoin is set to undergo three halvings this decade: the first in 2020, the second in 2024, and the third in 2028. Counting the 2020 halving, which already took place, Bitcoin has now experienced a total of four halvings since its launch in 2009. Historically, the year following each halving has seen Bitcoin’s price skyrocket due to increasing demand and diminishing supply.

However, this time, a new and more powerful force is driving demand—one that far outweighs the retail investor demand that has fueled Bitcoin’s growth over the past 12+ years. This surge in demand, combined with declining supply issuance and BTC continuously being removed from circulation, creates the perfect storm for extreme price movements. We’ll dive deeper into this new demand later, but first, let’s examine the historical impact of Bitcoin halvings.

The Power of Halvings: Historical Price Performance

📌 First Halving – November 28, 2012

• Mining reward dropped from 50 to 25 BTC.
• 365 days before the halving: Bitcoin was priced at $2.54.
• One year after the halving: Bitcoin peaked at $1,007—an increase of over 8,000%.

📌 Second Halving – July 16, 2016

• Mining reward dropped from 25 to 12.5 BTC.
• 365 days before the halving: Bitcoin was priced at $269.68.
• One year after the halving: Bitcoin peaked at $2,506—a gain of 284%.

📌 Third Halving – May 18, 2020

• Mining reward dropped from 12.5 to 6.25 BTC.
• 365 days before the halving: Bitcoin was priced at $7,300.
• One year after the halving: Bitcoin surged to $64,840—a gain of 788%.

📌 Fourth Halving – April 19, 2024 (Projected Date)

• Mining reward drops from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC.
• 365 days before the halving: Bitcoin was priced at $30,000 – $40,000.
• If history repeats itself, we could see Bitcoin’s price multiply over the next 12–18 months.

Looking further ahead, the fifth halving is expected in spring 2028, cutting the mining reward to 1.5625 BTC.

A Predictable Supply Shock, an Unpredictable Demand Surge

While it’s impossible to predict the exact level of demand for Bitcoin post-halvings, one thing is clear: Bitcoin’s scarcity and rising adoption make a mega-bullish outlook almost inevitable. Over the next six years, Bitcoin’s price trajectory could look similar to—if not exceed—previous cycles.

“But past performance doesn’t guarantee future price gains!”

While true, this statement ignores the fundamental reasons why Bitcoin will continue to rise. The world has a store-of-value crisis, and the free market has chosen Bitcoin as the solution. Wealth is flowing into Bitcoin like never before, positioning it as the best-performing asset of the decade—for the second decade in a row.

With a fixed supply of 21 million BTC and exponentially rising demand, Bitcoin’s long-term price direction is clear: up.

The Institutional and Sovereign Bitcoin Race

Bitcoin’s price used to be driven by individual investors buying and HODLing. But now, the game has changed.

🚀 Billionaires, corporations, and even nation-states are entering the space, adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. The competition to accumulate BTC is intensifying. They’re not making more than 21 million, and everyone wants their piece of the pie.

The first domino has already fallen. El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, setting off a game-theory-driven domino effect among other nations. The race is now on for countries to make Bitcoin legal tender and add it to their reserves.

In El Salvador, merchants are now required to accept Bitcoin for payments, forcing businesses to adopt it as part of their daily operations. This widespread adoption could push major corporations to expand Bitcoin use to other countries, including the U.S.

Meanwhile, some nations are already feeling the pressure of being left behind. As Gabriel Silva, a member of Panama’s Parliament, put it:

“This is important. And Panama cannot be left behind. If we want to be a true technology and entrepreneurship hub, we have to support cryptocurrencies. We will be preparing a proposal to present at the Assembly.”

Countries that fail to adopt Bitcoin are falling behind those that do. Bitcoiners are accumulating immense wealth, and governments will soon begin competing for their business. To attract Bitcoin holders, nations will offer tax incentives, citizenship programs, land development opportunities, and Bitcoin mining benefits.

As El Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele famously stated:

“We want Bitcoiners to move here.”

Soon, leaders of every country will be saying these words. The ones who say it first will be the biggest winners.

The World is Being Repriced in Bitcoin

This is the beginning of an unprecedented shift—a massive inflow of global wealth into Bitcoin. The financial system is being redefined, and those who understand this now will be light-years ahead of the rest of the world.

You and I already see what’s happening. The rest of the world? They’re just starting to figure it out.